Thursday, December 20, 2012

Early Admissions to Elite Colleges

The number of early admission applicants to colleges and universities continues to rise even though the total number of applicants to college is expected to have peaked.  For the elite schools (Ivy  League plus other top 10 colleges), the number of early applicants increased by 9%.

 College  applications  % over '12  admits admit rate places  %  filled 
Harvard        4,753 15%           895 18.8%        1,670 54%
MIT        6,541 9%           650 9.9%        1,130 58%
Princeton        3,810 11%           697 18.3%        1,397 50%
Yale        4,514 4%           709 15.7%        1,351 52%
Stanford        6,103 4%           725 11.9%        1,766 41%
Caltech        1,713 17%           250 14.6%           235 106%
Columbia Col        3,126 1%          610 19.5%        1,075 57%
Upenn        4,812 6%        1,196 24.9%        2,420 49%
Cornell        4,193 16%        1,230 33.9%        3,150 39%
Brown         3,010 3%           558 18.5%        1,515 37%
Duke        2,540 -4%           753 29.6%        1,705 44%
Dartmouth        1,574 -13%           464 29.5%        1,110 42%
U of Chicago      10,317 20%        1,380 13.4%        1,400 99%


U of Chicago continues it's recent fast growth spurt with a 20% increase y-o-y, while some colleges like Dartmouth experienced an unusually large decrease in early applicants.

The percent of applicants admitted early remains much higher than overall admit rates for all institutions.  For example, while the overall admit rate for Harvard is expected to remain below 6%, its admit rate for Single Choice Early Action (SCEA) program is more than 3 times higher at 18.8%.  This does not mean that it is much easier to get into Harvard or any of the other schools by applying early.  It is important to point out that the early pools contain most of the recruited athletes (with very high acceptance rates), legacies (with relatively high acceptances), and URMs (e.g. Questbridge, with higher than average acceptances) which tends to distort the true admit rate for applicants without any hooks.  That said, many colleges do look favorably on early applicants who show strong interest and commitment to the school.

The last column calculates the percentage of the freshman class already filled early.  Applicants should not be discouraged by the 106% for CalTech and 99% for UofChicago since their yield typically runs near 1/3 and they ultimately admit twice as many during the regular decision cycle.

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